Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.005418 0.005982 0.006565 0.007211 0.007908 0.008634 0.009448
2025-01-05 0.004641 0.005461 0.006351 0.007385 0.008549 0.009814 0.011290
2025-01-12 0.003974 0.004908 0.005959 0.007221 0.008687 0.010328 0.012296
2025-01-19 0.003535 0.004549 0.005725 0.007178 0.008911 0.010897 0.013330
2025-01-26 0.003147 0.004205 0.005469 0.007069 0.009021 0.011306 0.014160
2025-02-02 0.002864 0.003962 0.005305 0.007046 0.009213 0.011796 0.015076
2025-02-09 0.002615 0.003738 0.005146 0.007007 0.009370 0.012231 0.015920
2025-02-16 0.002481 0.003651 0.005147 0.007162 0.009760 0.012952 0.017119
2025-02-23 0.002267 0.003439 0.004973 0.007077 0.009836 0.013274 0.017822
2025-03-02 0.002113 0.003298 0.004880 0.007088 0.010028 0.013739 0.018704
2025-03-09 0.002057 0.003288 0.004959 0.007325 0.010514 0.014584 0.020078
2025-03-16 0.001954 0.003204 0.004931 0.007413 0.010802 0.015173 0.021133
2025-03-23 0.001883 0.003164 0.004966 0.007594 0.011226 0.015961 0.022474
2025-03-30 0.001816 0.003127 0.005002 0.007776 0.011655 0.016763 0.023852
2025-04-06 0.001649 0.002928 0.004795 0.007604 0.011592 0.016905 0.024358
2025-04-13 0.001533 0.002798 0.004682 0.007560 0.011698 0.017272 0.025162
2025-04-20 0.001408 0.002647 0.004527 0.007446 0.011699 0.017491 0.025767
2025-04-27 0.001317 0.002542 0.004437 0.007422 0.011824 0.017878 0.026600
2025-05-04 0.001229 0.002437 0.004340 0.007382 0.011921 0.018224 0.027380
2025-05-11 0.001193 0.002419 0.004377 0.007543 0.012312 0.018984 0.028739
2025-05-18 0.001105 0.002303 0.004254 0.007454 0.012331 0.019221 0.029374
2025-05-25 0.001044 0.002232 0.004199 0.007466 0.012498 0.019666 0.030304
2025-06-01 0.001035 0.002252 0.004292 0.007713 0.013020 0.020624 0.031964